Recently, there has been a lot of worry and criticism about European politics, much of which is justified and even constructive. There is indeed a lot that needs fixing. What bothers me, though, is the recurring comparison to the U.S. as some kind of role model. At least, that's my impression.
Yesterday, Donald Trump began his new presidency under the banner of "Make America Great Again." His plans for the next four years seem less about progress and more about turning back the clock. From doubling down on fossil fuel drilling—even in protected areas—to withdrawing from international climate agreements, favoring the wealthy, and amplifying divisive populism through social media, this presidency seems set to pursue what I'd call the "20th-century playbook."
This is a pivotal moment in history. While many of us acknowledge the issues within European systems, we must be cautious about adopting any aspects of an approach that appears to be regressive, imperialistic, and environmentally devastating. The upcoming years could define not only the U.S. but also influence global trends, alliances, and trajectories. For Europe, and indeed the rest of the world, this could serve as a wake-up call: Will we choose the path of sustainable development, inclusivity, and systemic improvement, or will we fall prey to the temptation of short-term gains at the expense of long-term stability?
Let me outline two paths from 2025 to 2029: The Trump Way and an alternative, The Way Forward.
The Trump Way
Environmental Rollbacks
Expanding fossil fuel drilling, weakening regulations, and stepping out of global climate agreements. The Trump administration has already signed executive orders to open up new opportunities for fossil fuel drilling, including in areas previously designated as protected. By withdrawing from global climate agreements like the Paris Agreement, the U.S. risks exacerbating global warming while isolating itself diplomatically. This focus on short-term economic growth ignores the mounting costs of environmental degradation, from extreme weather events to the loss of biodiversity.
Growing Inequality
Policies favoring the wealthy and using GDP as the sole success metric. The administration's economic plans center on tax cuts for the wealthiest individuals and corporations, doubling down on trickle-down economics. While this may temporarily boost GDP, it fails to address systemic inequities, leaving vulnerable populations behind. Rising inequality has a corrosive effect on societies, weakening social cohesion and fostering resentment.
Economic Imperialism
Aspirations to annex territories like Canada and Greenland, disregarding sovereignty. Such ambitions are reminiscent of colonial-era imperialism and undermine international norms of sovereignty and cooperation. Not only are these goals impractical, but they also alienate key allies, making it harder to address global challenges collectively.
Anti-Immigration
Expelling immigrants and discouraging global talent migration. The administration's anti-immigration stance goes beyond border control; it actively seeks to restrict pathways for skilled workers and refugees. In a globalized world, this approach not only hinders economic growth but also stifles innovation and cultural exchange.
Populism and Manipulation
Leveraging social media and billionaire influence to dominate public discourse. The 2024 elections were heavily shaped by social media manipulation and significant financial investments by billionaires, creating an uneven playing field. This undermines the democratic process, replacing informed debate with polarizing narratives designed to appeal to base instincts rather than reasoned judgment.
The Way Forward
Sustainability Revolution
Invest heavily in clean energy and phase out fossil fuels, conserving & restoring biodiversity. Countries must prioritize the transition to renewable energy sources like wind, solar, and hydrogen while actively working to restore ecosystems. This is not just about preventing climate change; it's about creating a resilient and thriving planet for future generations. Clean energy investments also create jobs, stimulate economies, and reduce reliance on volatile fossil fuel markets.
Systemic Success Metrics
Look beyond GDP to measure well-being, equity, and environmental health. GDP alone is an outdated measure of success. Forward-thinking nations are adopting broader metrics that account for social and environmental factors. Tools like the Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI) or the Human Development Index (HDI) provide a more comprehensive understanding of societal health. By integrating these metrics into policymaking, governments can create strategies that foster holistic progress.
International Cooperation
Strengthen alliances and promote sustainable development globally. The challenges we face—from climate change to pandemics—are inherently global. By strengthening alliances, promoting fair trade, and supporting multilateral organizations, countries can work together to create shared prosperity. Europe, in particular, has an opportunity to lead by example, emphasizing collaboration over competition.
Smart Immigration
Welcome global talent and integrate it effectively into diverse workforces. Immigration, when managed wisely, is a powerful driver of innovation and economic growth. Countries should focus on creating pathways that attract global talent while ensuring inclusive policies that promote integration and social cohesion. This approach not only strengthens economies but also enriches societies culturally and intellectually.
Informed Democracies
Use AI to empower voters with facts and counter misinformation. Technology can be a force for good. By leveraging AI, governments and organizations can provide voters with unbiased information, helping them make informed decisions. This can include tools that visualize long-term consequences of policies or platforms that debunk misinformation in real time. The goal is to foster a more engaged and educated electorate.
A Call for Europe
Europe faces its challenges, no doubt. But positioning the U.S. as a role model under these circumstances feels shortsighted. Instead, we should focus on leading with sustainability, innovation, and equity—not by emulating old playbooks, but by crafting a truly forward-looking path.